Description

This analysis provides a forecast of QNT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 59.396072 66.408834 73.691939 81.802360 90.563308 99.723578 110.007143
2024-10-06 49.177670 59.602133 71.062337 84.514345 99.787896 116.508143 136.111171
2024-10-13 42.844737 54.944219 68.777094 85.595082 105.317931 127.544611 154.310361
2024-10-20 37.862718 51.052964 66.659149 86.212857 109.774079 136.967927 170.432080
2024-10-27 32.604696 46.164426 62.745843 84.118844 110.525847 141.673234 180.753947
2024-11-03 30.607593 45.083311 63.257924 87.211790 117.386308 153.571357 199.641488
2024-11-10 28.309204 43.351325 62.728627 88.818632 122.291740 163.058325 215.668882
2024-11-17 25.679178 40.917603 61.064546 88.773548 124.969658 169.720340 228.229891
2024-11-24 24.532971 40.402427 61.836936 91.829396 131.577827 181.310213 247.003317
2024-12-01 22.412569 38.319370 60.327203 91.716871 133.981226 187.552194 259.103433
2024-12-08 20.207836 35.923034 58.210990 90.623930 134.965370 191.898718 268.775433
2024-12-15 18.581485 34.252279 56.990394 90.647241 137.352991 198.014995 280.720818
2024-12-22 17.174610 32.845560 56.111282 91.157412 140.477543 205.254952 294.398862
2024-12-29 16.694603 32.872149 57.326436 94.667096 147.785848 218.150109 315.669931
2025-01-05 15.627493 31.849763 56.894674 95.744430 151.698659 226.543944 331.110299
2025-01-12 14.560441 30.734113 56.241019 96.433338 155.033233 234.168603 345.596815
2025-01-19 12.913492 28.477716 53.677343 94.152629 154.042098 235.847746 352.112826
2025-01-26 12.635941 28.604422 54.864134 97.517088 161.171092 248.692697 373.746533
2025-02-02 12.038626 28.102456 55.002378 99.263656 165.968901 258.376225 391.212673
2025-02-09 11.132545 26.951913 54.013292 99.214674 168.111852 264.379843 403.725296
2025-02-16 10.924090 27.103148 55.176015 102.534661 175.257361 277.441830 426.016060
2025-02-23 10.110149 26.012277 54.187836 102.412451 177.264177 283.292537 438.450429
2025-03-02 9.182470 24.608210 52.581405 101.225272 177.613951 286.766737 447.604643